Building Bankroll - Issue #10

Betting Preview for 2 MNF Matchups, CFB Week 5 Way Too Early Predictions, and the MLB Playoff Picture

NFL Monday Night Betting Preview

We've got two great matchups set for tonight.

First up, can the Jags turn their season around, or will the Bills continue their dominant run?

Let’s break it down👇

Jaguars @ Bills | 7:30pm ET

The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) face a big matchup against the Buffalo Bills (2-0) this Monday in Buffalo.

With only four teams since 1990 making the playoffs after starting 0-3, the Jaguars are in a must-win situation.

  • Line: BUF -5

  • O/U: 45.5

The Jaguars have had a rough start to the season, losing narrowly to both Miami and Cleveland.

The inability to get the running game going has been a major issue, and Trevor Lawrence has struggled with only 1 passing touchdown this season.

The Jaguars' defense has been somewhat better, but not enough to compensate for their offensive woes.

This will likely be the determining factor in who wins this game.

On the other side, Josh Allen has been stellar for the Bills.

Through two games he has completed 73.8% of his passes for 371 yards and three touchdowns. His passer rating and QBR are at career highs.

With the loss of Stefon Diggs, James Cook has turned up the pressure and is making a big impact.

AFC OPOTW vs Dolphins

The Bills' defense has been particularly effective in creating turnovers, which has given their offense more opportunities to score.

The defensive line, led by Ed Oliver and Gregory Rousseau, has been effective in both pass rush and run defense.

Betting Analysis

The Bills are favored by 5 points, and given their current form, this seems like a pretty reasonable line.

Buffalo is 22-8 straight-up and 20-8-2 against the spread in the first month of the season under Sean McDermott, and even better at home.

Buffalo’s balanced attack and home-field advantage should be too much for a struggling Jaguars team to overcome.

If the Bills can control the game tempo and exploit Jacksonville's weaknesses, covering 5 points shouldn’t be a problem.

  • Bills -5 | -110 | FanDuel

Commanders @ Bengals | 8:15pm

The Washington Commanders (1-1) head to Paycor Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) in the final Week 3 matchup.

  • Line: CIN -7

  • O/U: 47.5

The Bengals are in a must-win situation, and Joe Burrow showed signs of life last week.

The Bengals will also have Tee Higgins back in the lineup for the first time this year.

However, Cincinnati's defense has been porous, especially against the run.

Injuries along the defensive line and the questionable status of safety Vonn Bell further complicate their defensive woes.

Jayden Daniels has had a strong start to his rookie season, ranking in the top eight in Adjusted EPA per Play among quarterbacks.

The Commanders' offense has been effective on the ground, with Brian Robinson Jr. rushing for 173 yards and a touchdown through two games.

However, their defense has struggled, ranking last in EPA per play despite facing weaker offenses in the Bucs and Giants.

Washington's ability to run the ball effectively against a weak Bengals run defense could keep this game closer than expected.

Betting Analysis

Washington's strong running game and Jayden Daniels' dual-threat ability should keep them competitive.

Cincinnati's defensive injuries and poor run defense make it hard to justify them covering a 7.5-point spread without a second thought.

The total points line at 47.5 seems achievable given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and offensive weapons.

If there’s one thing I’m certain of, it’s that Washington will rely heavily on Brian Robinson to keep them in the game.

This game script aligns well with Washington's strengths and Cincinnati's weaknesses, making Robinson a key player to watch and bet on.

  • Brian Robinson Over 53.5 Rush Yards | -110 | FanDuel

NCAAF Way Too Early Betting Preview

This weekend’s college football slate is stacked, and we’re highlighting two key games with big playoff implications.

Georgia2 @ Alabama4 | 7:30pm

The SEC showdown of the year is here as No. 2 Georgia (3-0) visits No. 4 Alabama (3-0) in a game loaded with playoff implications.

Anyone who thinks this isn’t the biggest game this week is lying to themselves.

  • Line: UGA -1.5

  • O/U: 49.5

Georgia narrowly escaped Kentucky with a 13-12 win, raising some eyebrows about their offensive consistency.

Subscribe to keep reading

This content is free, but you must be subscribed to Building Bankroll to continue reading.

Already a subscriber?Sign In.Not now

Reply

or to participate.