Table of Contents

• These Cappers Are Must-Follows for Football Season

  • Is Outlier.bet the Tool You’ve Been Missing?

    • How Outlier Simplifies Betting

  • How Our Olympic Predictions Stacked Up

  • Counting Down The Days

  • This Week’s Slate

  • MLB

These Cappers Are Must-Follows for Football Season

Recently came across this list of 28 cappers that’s actually pretty solid.

Here are a few more we’d add to the list:

• John Hyslop (@sloprules)

  • Strong all-sports capper who adds a touch of satire

• Nick’s Picks (@nicksMLBpicks)

  • MLB-oriented with multiple (good) picks daily

• Prop Bomb (@PropBomb)

  • Analysis-backed capper focusing on NBA and NFL

• The Underground Lab (@TUNDERGL)

  • Don’t sleep on this account specializing in Unders

Is Outlier.bet the Tool You’ve Been Missing?

Last week we teased the review of an elite sports betting software - and here it is.

No, this is not a sponsorship, ad, or affiliate review. Our only goal is to help you win more bets.

How Outlier Simplifies Betting

Outlier.bet is a cutting-edge sports betting tool designed to help bettors make informed decisions with real-time data and curated analysis.

Key features include:

• Sportsbook integration

• Line shopping & movement

• Injury reports

• Public betting percentages

• H2H & recent player data

• Analyzing arbitrage opportunities

• Available boosts & bonuses across sportsbooks

Outlier simplifies betting by integrating with your sportsbooks to find the best odds and place bets quickly.

The Basics

The web app has a clean layout, featuring a feed of “Insights” bettors see right when they open the app.

You can filter insights by:

• Team

• Player

• Games

• Odds

• Sportsbook

Log in with your sportsbook accounts and click on the bets you want to place.

Outlier will automatically find the sportsbook with the best odds, and add it to your bet slip.

When you’re ready to place your bets, Outlier offers 2 options.

1. Outlier sends you to the right sportsbook to place your bets (web app & mobile)

2. Outlier displays a QR code to copy your bet slip to your sportsbook app (web app)

If you use the Outlier mobile app, you’ll be directed to your preferred sportsbook app to place the bet.

Outlier also offers a link that can be copied and shared online or via text.

Props and Games

In addition to Insights, Outlier offers a comprehensive, live database of bets.

Users can filter by:

• Games

• Prop Types

• Players

• Over/Unders

• Odds

• Alt Lines

• Live

• Hit Rate

If you’re looking for a specific bet, chances are you’ll find it on Outlier.

Pro Features

Everything we’ve covered so far fits into the cheaper pricing tier.

The rest will be tools included in the Pro plan.

EV Analysis

Users can filter positive EV bets by:

• Sportsbook

• Devig method

• Kelly Multiplier (more on Kelly Multiplier and Calculator if you’re interested)

• Bet Types

• Date Range

• Leagues

Bettors can use the EV tool to capitalize on favorable lines and odds.

Boosts

If you like getting a little risky now and then, you’ll be a fan of this feature.

It aggregates boosted bets across your various sportsbooks into one feed.

You can filter by the sportsbooks you use and see what they’re currently offering.

While these boosts generally tilt toward the risky side, no more missing out on valuable lines every now and then.

Arbitrage

This one’s pretty self explanatory, but definitely shouldn’t be overlooked.

Depending on how keen you are on checking for arbitrage opportunities, you could potentially pay for the Outlier monthly subscription with winnings from this section.

The more sportsbooks you use, the more arbitrage opportunities you’ll have.

Middle Betting

If you’ve never heard of it before, “middle betting” is all about taking multiple bets and trying to screw Vegas in the middle.

There are only three possible outcomes.

1. 10 or fewer runs scored: Loses $8.96

   1. Implied probability 45%

2. Exactly 11 runs scored: Wins $88.88

   1. Implied probability 10%

3. 12 or more runs scored: Loses $8.98

   1. Implied probability 45%

Unlike arbitrage, middle betting doesn’t always make a profit.

But with that higher risk comes a much higher potential reward.

Pricing

Hopefully you aren’t too surprised that an app as good as this one isn’t free.

The Premium Plan currently sits at $19.99/month and the Pro Plan at $129/month for a limited time (normally $199/mo).

At a higher price point, the Pro Plan is geared more toward sharps and bettors with a larger bankroll.

It offers multiple tools for bettors who want to go the extra mile - and seems to be very much worth the extra money.

• Outlier 7-day Free Trial

You can cancel your plan before the 7 days run out (without being charged) - the process is quick and easy.

The Bottom Line

This betting software might not be right for everyone, but there's no denying it's pretty amazing.

Clean, robust, and very easy to use.

If you’re looking for a boost in your betting life, give the 7 day free trial a shot and see what you think.

How Our Olympic Predictions Stacked Up

Here are the final medal counts for the top 10 countries.

Great Britain’s Gold Medal Total opened at 17.5 and quickly dropped to 14.5, where it closed.

France couldn’t bring home the Gold in Men’s Basketball or Soccer, and ended up far below their projected total of 24.5.

• Kevin Durant broke Olympic history, becoming the first athlete EVER to win 4 gold medals in any team sport.

Recapping Our Summer Olympics Betting Predictions

We also included a few predictions in the betting guide we dropped - here’s how things shook out (+3.3 units).

• Men’s Basketball Gold Medal Winner: France +1400 ❌

• Germany Men’s Basketball Team to be Eliminated in the Semifinal +270 ✅

• Men’s Soccer Gold Medal Winner: Spain +260 ✅

• Men’s Tennis Gold Medal Winner: Carlos Alcaraz -125 ❌

Counting Down The Days

You’ve made it to mid-August, and it’s only going to get better from here.

This Week’s Slate

We’ll wrap this week up with a quick look at the coming slate.

NFL Preseason

NFL preseason is in full swing with the Eagles taking on the Patriots on Thursday Night Football.

The Eagles sat most of their starters in Week 1, giving younger/bubble players a chance to prove themselves.

They beat the Ravens 16-13 in Week 1, even after missing this field goal.

• Kenny Pickett: 14/22 for 89 yards | 1 TD, 0 INT

• Will Shipley: 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 yard receiving TD, 2 kick returns for 48 yards

The Patriots had an all-around successful outing against the Panthers, winning 17-3.

• Bailey Zappe: 12/20 for 108 yards | 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 FUM

• Joe Milton III: 4/6 for 54 yards | 1 TD, 0 INT

• Kevin Harris: 8 carries for 24 yards | 1 RUSH TD

UFC 305

This is a big one, and bettors won’t want to miss out on the action.

Main Card

Despite being in Australia, the main card starts at 10pm ET on Saturday, August 17.

All odds are moneyline wagers at time of writing.

Dricus Du Plessis (+114) vs. Israel Adesanya (-135)

MIDDLEWEIGHT TITLE BOUT

After a shocking loss to Sean Strickland and nearly a year out of the octagon, Israel Adesanya is poised for a comeback at UFC 305.

Dricus Du Plessis is known for his unorthodox and relentless pressure, which has troubled fighters in the past.

• Du Plessis has more submission wins (10) than knockouts (9)

Adesanya will need to be cautious of takedowns, but his striking advantage and experience in high-stakes fights could be the difference-maker.

Kai Kara-France (+170) vs. Steve Erceg (-205)

This bout pits Kai Kara-France's striking and experience against Steven Erceg's grappling prowess.

Expect a high-paced, technical battle where the outcome hinges on whether the fight stays upright or goes to the mat.

Mateusz Gamrot (-325) vs. Dan Hooker (+260)

Dan Hooker, riding a two-fight win streak, will fight alongside his City Kickboxing teammates (Adesanya and Kara-France) at UFC 305.

With Gamrot winning seven of his last eight, this matchup promises a clash of momentum, with both fighters bringing high stakes to the octagon.

Tai Tuivasa (+185) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (-225)

Expect fireworks in the Tai Tuivasa vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik fight at UFC 305, with both heavyweights boasting 13 KO/TKO victories each.

This matchup is likely to end in a knockout, with both fighters bringing serious knockout potential to the cage.

Li Jingliang (+230) vs. Carlos Prates (-285)

Carlos Prates enters UFC 305 with momentum, being favored in 5 of his last 6 fights and undefeated in his last 9 since 2019.

Li Jingliang returns after a lengthy layoff due to a spine injury that kept him out of UFC 287.

The stage is set for a potential underdog story if Jingliang can secure a win in this comeback fight.

The Undercard

• Junior Tafa (-118) vs. Valter Walker (-102)

• Joshua Culibao (-102) vs. Ricardo Ramos (+145)

• Casey O’Neill (+150) vs. Luana Santos (-180)

• Stewart Nicoll (-225) vs. Jesus Aguilar (+185)

• Song Kenan (-198) vs. Ricky Glenn (+164)

• Jack Jenkins (-625) vs. Herbert Burns (+455)

• Tom Nolan (-1100) vs. Alex Reyes (+700)

MLB

The Astros capped off a sweep of the Red Sox in Fenway this weekend, and currently sit at 62-55.

• The Astros To Make The Playoffs: -255

After a lackluster first half of the season, Corbin Carroll has been on an absolute tear since the All-Star Break.

The Diamondbacks (66-53) currently hold a Wild Card spot and are -235 To Make The Playoffs.

Series of the Week

This week, keep an eye the Royals as they head to Minnesota for a series against the Twins.

• Monday, August 12 | 7:40pm ET

  • Singer v. P. Lopez

• Tuesday, August 13 | 7:40pm ET

  • S. Lugo v. Z. Matthews

• Wednesday, August 14 | 1:10pm ET

  • Ragans v. Ober

With six games left against the Royals and four more against the Guardians, every win is crucial as the Twins battle for the division lead.

Our Pick for Game 1

Brady Singer, who dominated the Twins earlier this season with a seven-inning, 10-strikeout performance, will be on the mound.

Minnesota's Pablo Lopez has been a Royals nemesis, boasting a 4-1 record and a 2.41 ERA against them.

With the Twins hitting .275 and an OPS of .827 against Kansas City's pitching at home, the trends favor a Minnesota victory in Monday's series opener.

• Twins ML -144

Bet of the Week

Would you have placed this Olympics bet?

Good luck with your bets this week, and we’ll see you next Monday!