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Building Bankroll - Issue #6
CFB Week 1 Lines, NFL Cuts, and MLB Playoff Push
Early CFB Week 1 Line Movement
In case you live under a rock, college football is back.
Georgia Tech took it to Florida State in Ireland, SMU snuck past Nevada, and there are more undefeated teams right now than there will be the rest of the season.
P.S. It’s everyone but FSU, New Mexico, Nevada, and Delaware State.
Week 1 line adjustments for teams playing Week 0
FSU was -20.5 vs BC; market now painted FSU -17
Ga Tech was -20.5 vs Ga State; market moved to Tech -21.5/-22
Nevada was +15.5 @ Troy but mid week dipped to 13.5; after near upset of SMU currently +9.5/+10
Hawaii was +13 vs… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman)
4:34 PM • Aug 25, 2024
College Football Look Ahead
While most of these games are days away, if you’re betting on favorites, it’s best to do it early.
Here are some of the best games in Week 1 of college football.
All times in ET.
Thursday, August 29
Howard @ Rutgers | 6pm
Line: Rutgers -36.5
O/U: 49.5
Western Carolina @ NC State | 7pm
Line: NC State -34.5
O/U: 61
North Dakota State @ Colorado | 8pm
Line: Colorado -9.5
O/U: 59
North Carolina @ Minnesota | 8pm
Line: North Carolina -1
O/U: 50
Coastal Carolina @ Jacksonville State | 8pm
Line: J. State -2.5
O/U: 55.5
Murray State @ Missouri | 8pm
Line: Missouri -48
O/U: 57.5
Southern Utah @ Utah | 8pm
Line: Utah -38
O/U: 53
Friday, August 30
Temple @ Oklahoma16 | 7pm
Line: OU -43
O/U: 59
Florida Atlantic @ Michigan State | 7pm
Line: MSU -13.5
O/U: 47.5
Elon @ Duke | 7:30pm
Line: Duke -23.5
O/U: 49.5
Western Michigan @ Wisconsin | 9pm
Line: Wisconsin -24
O/U: 56.5
TCU @ Stanford | 10:30pm
Line: TCU -9
O/U: 61.5
Saturday, August 31
Clemson14 @ Georgia1 | 12pm
Line: Georgia -13.5
O/U: 49
Penn State8 @ West Virginia | 12pm
Line: Penn State -8.5
O/U: 51.5
Illinois State @ Iowa | 12pm
Line: Iowa -22.5
O/U: 41
Virginia Tech @ Vanderbilt | 12pm
Line: VA Tech -13.5
O/U: 50.5
Chattanooga @ Tennessee | 12:45pm
Line: Tennessee -38.5
O/U: 57
San Diego State @ Oklahoma State | 2pm
Line: Oklahoma State -10
O/U: 54
Colorado State @ Texas4 | 3:30pm
Line: Texas -32.5
O/U: 59.5
Miami OH @ Northwestern | 3:30pm
Line: NW -2.5
O/U: 42.5
Akron @ Ohio State2 | 3:30pm
Line: OSU -50.5
O/U: 57.5
Miami FL19 @ Florida | 3:30pm
Line: Miami -2.5
O/U: 54
Eastern Michigan @ UMass | 3:30pm
Line: UMass -1.5
O/U: 49.5
Boise State @ Georgia Southern | 4pm
Line: Boise State -13
O/U: 56.5
North Texas @ South Alabama | 5pm
Line: South Alabama -5
O/U: 65
Western Kentucky @ Alabama5 | 7pm
Line: Alabama -31.5
O/U: 59.5
Furman @ Ole Miss | 7pm
Line: Ole Miss -41.5
O/U: 60.5
UNLV @ Houston | 7pm
Line: Houston -1
O/U: 54.5
Notre Dame7 @ Texas A&M20 | 7:30pm
Line: A&M -2.5
O/U: 46.5
Fresno State @ Michigan9 | 7:30pm
Line: Michigan -21.5
O/U: 45.5
UCLA @ Hawaii | 7:30pm
Line: UCLA -13.5
O/U: 55.5
Idaho @ Oregon | 7:30pm
Line: Oregon -43.5
O/U: 63
James Madison @ Charlotte | 8pm
Line: JMU -6.5
O/U: 51
Georgia State @ Georgia Tech | 8pm
Line: GT -22
O/U: 57
New Mexico @ Arizona21 | 10:30pm
Line: Arizona -30.5
O/U: 57
Sunday, September 1
USC23 @ LSU13 | 7:30pm
Line: LSU -4.5
O/U: 63.5
Monday, September 2
Boston College @ Florida State10 | 7:30pm
Line: FSU -17
O/U: 50.5
5 Biggest College Football Matchups This Week
We’ve got you covered.
Five of the top CFB matchups this weekend, and our 5 predictions.
Clemson14 @ Georgia1 | 12pm
This season opener is already a sellout, and for good reason.
Moneyline: Georgia -600 / Clemson +440
Line: Georgia -13.5
O/U: 49
Both teams are perennial powerhouses with rich histories and high expectations for the 2024 season.
Georgia, led by Heisman Trophy contender Carson Beck, is the betting favorite to win it all this year.
The Bulldogs are stacked with future NFL talent and are eager to start their title quest on a high note.
On the other side, Clemson, under the leadership of Dabo Swinney, is looking to bounce back from a disappointing 2023 season.
While Georgia holds a two-touchdown favorite status, Clemson's stout defense and potential offensive improvements could make this a closer game than expected.
With both teams having won four of the past eight national championships, this matchup is a must-watch.
Georgia will come out with more than Clemson can handle.
Georgia 1H -6.5 [-150, bet365]
Penn State8 @ West Virginia | 12pm
This matchup promises to be anything but straightforward.
Moneyline: Penn State -305 / WVU +245
Line: Penn State -8.5
O/U: 51.5
Penn State, coming off a strong 2023 season, is led by quarterback Drew Allar, who threw for 2,631 yards and boasted a 25/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio last year.
The Nittany Lions are ranked in the top 10 in both the AP and Coaches polls and are eyeing a spot in the newly expanded 12-team playoff.
West Virginia, under coach Neal Brown, had a resurgent 9-4 season in 2023 and is looking to build on that momentum.
Quarterback Garrett Greene is a dual-threat playmaker who could give Penn State's defense a run for its money.
While Penn State's defense is one of the best in the nation, allowing just 13.5 points per game last season, West Virginia's high-octane offense, featuring Greene and running backs Jahiem White and C.J. Donaldson, will look to exploit any weaknesses.
Expect a competitive game with Morgantown's raucous crowd adding to the atmosphere.
However, Penn State's defensive prowess and Allar's leadership should help them pull away in the second half.
Penn State to cover -8.5 [-110, bet365].
Miami FL19 @ Florida | 3:30pm
The storied rivalry between Miami and Florida reignites on Saturday, with both teams looking to bounce back from disappointing 2023 seasons.
Moneyline: Miami -142 / Florida +120
Line: Miami -2.5
O/U: 54
Miami's defense, led by Lance Guidry, is formidable, ranking 11th in rushing yards allowed and 20th in tackles for loss last season.
However, Florida's seasoned QB Graham Mertz, who completed 72.9% of his passes for 2,903 yards and 20 touchdowns, could exploit Miami's secondary.
The Gators' ground game, featuring top rushers, will be key.
If they establish the run, it opens up play-action opportunities for Mertz.
Mertz excels in quick reads and short-to-intermediate passes, making it difficult for Miami's defense to force mistakes.
Florida's narrow losses last season have made them battle-hardened - with a chip on their shoulder and something to prove, the Gators are primed to surprise.
Keep an eye on Florida to cover the spread and maybe even snag a win.
Florida ML [+125, BetMGM]
Notre Dame7 @ Texas A&M20 | 7:30pm
This game is packed with juicy narratives and high stakes, making it a must-watch (and bet) for sports bettors.
Moneyline: Texas A&M -142 / ND +120
Line: A&M -2.5
O/U: 46.5
Notre Dame enters the season with a new starting quarterback, a revamped receiving corps, and a piecemeal offensive line.
Facing one of the best defensive lines in the SEC, led by former Notre Dame defensive coordinator Mike Elko, now head coach at Texas A&M, adds layers of intrigue.
The Irish defense, under Al Golden, is expected to be top-tier, but the offensive line will likely feature a freshman at left tackle, adding to the uncertainty.
Texas A&M, under new offensive coordinator Collin Klein, has several positions still up for grabs, particularly along the offensive line and linebacker.
The Aggies' defense is also expected to be dominant this year, making this a battle of the trenches.
Both teams have strong running games.
Klein's offense ranked 13th in rushing at Kansas State last year.
The game will be played in muggy Texas weather, which could be a factor.
Notre Dame's Riley Leonard has never beaten a top-25 team, and this will be a significant test for him.
With both teams boasting strong defensive fronts and questions on the offensive line, expect a low-scoring affair.
Under 46.5 [-110 on ESPNBet].
USC23 @ LSU13 | 7:30pm
Moneyline: LSU - 192 / USC +160
Line: LSU -4.5
O/U: 63.5
USC head coach Lincoln Riley has handed over quarterback coaching duties to Luke Huard, allowing Riley to focus more on defense, special teams, and other offensive positions.
This shift could bring a new dynamic to the Trojans, who named Miller Moss as their starting quarterback.
Riley's increased involvement across the board aims to improve USC's complementary football, which faltered in the latter half of the 2022 season.
On the other side, LSU rolls out a new-look offense with Garrett Nussmeier under center, replacing Jayden Daniels.
The Tigers' defense, under new coordinator Blake Baker, has shown significant growth, particularly with linebacker Harold Perkins poised for a breakout season.
LSU's defense will be key in this matchup, especially given USC's offensive firepower.
LSU hasn't won their season opener since 2019.
USC's improved defense under D'Anton Lynn and Riley's holistic approach make them a formidable opponent.
The Trojans are underdogs at +4.5, a spread they are well-positioned to cover.
Expect a close game with both teams showcasing their new strategies and key players.
With Riley's revamped approach and USC's home-field advantage, the Trojans covering +4.5 looks like a solid bet.
USC +4.5 [-110 on bet365]
NFL Roster Cutdown and Week 1
Preseason Week 3 wrapped up yesterday, and the countdown (10 days) to the regular season begins!
Week 1 kicks off on September 5 when the Ravens face off against the Chiefs in Arrowhead.
This week, teams must trim their rosters from 90 to 53 players by 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.
While some teams have already started making cuts, expect a flurry of moves ahead of the deadline.
Stay up to date on the latest preseason news and roster changes with this live roster tracker from Sporting News.
Current MLB Playoff Picture
Can you believe the first Wild Card game is in 36 days?
American League
National League
Key Matchups This Week
As the MLB regular season winds down, every game counts in the race for the playoffs.
Here are three key series to watch this week that could significantly impact the postseason picture:
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
The Astros (70-60) are set to clash with the Kansas City Royals (72-58) in a pivotal series that could shape the playoff landscape for both teams.
Thursday, August 29th, 8:10pm: B. Singer vs. H. Brown
Friday, August 30th, 8:10pm: S. Lugo vs. F. Valdez
Saturday, August 31st, 7:10pm: C. Ragans vs. Y. Kikuchi
Sunday, September 1st, 2:10pm: M. Lorenzen vs. R. Blanco
The Astros are fighting to solidify their playoff position in the American League, while the Royals are also in the hunt for a postseason spot.
Houston's pitching staff, featuring promising arms like Hunter Brown and Framber Valdez, will need to contain Kansas City's balanced offense.
Bobby Witt Jr: .347 AVG(1st) / 26 HR(19th) / 93 RBIs(7th) / 1.007 OPS(3rd)
Meanwhile, the Royals will rely on their strong rotation, including Brady Singer and Michael Lorenzen, to keep the Astros' hitters in check. This series is crucial for both teams as they look to secure their positions and potentially improve their seeding.
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
The Atlanta Braves (70-60) face off against the Minnesota Twins (72-58) in a series that could have significant playoff implications for both teams.
Monday, August 26th, 7:40pm: M. Fried vs. B. Ober
Tuesday, August 27th, 7:40pm: S. Schwellenbach vs. S. Richardson
Wednesday, August 28th, 7:40pm: C. Sale vs. D. Festa
The Braves aim to rebound after a 5-1 loss to the Nationals.
Max Fried, who excels at generating ground balls, will start Monday.
Atlanta's offense needs to improve after scoring no more than four runs in their past seven games.
The Twins lost 3-2 to the Cardinals in their latest game.
Despite injuries, their offense thrives with contributions from Austin Martin and Ryan Jeffers.
Expect Manuel Margot and Max Kepler to start against lefties, replacing Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner.
Orioles vs. Dodgers
The Orioles (76-56) are set to face the Dodgers (78-53) in a high-stakes series that could influence the playoff standings in both leagues.
Tuesday, August 27th, 10:10pm: C. Kimbrel vs. J. Flaherty
Wednesday, August 28th, 10:10pm: C. Burnes vs. W. Buehler
Thursday, August 29th, 10:10pm: C. Povich vs. B. Miller
The Orioles are currently the No. 4 seed in the American League, while the Dodgers hold the top spot in the National League.
This series is crucial for the Orioles as they look to improve their seeding and potentially secure home-field advantage in the playoffs.
Key players like Austin Hays and Anthony Santander need to maintain offensive momentum.
The Orioles' pitching staff must be sharp against a potent Dodgers lineup led by Shohei Ohtani.
The Dodgers will aim to maintain their position as the top seed and continue their strong performance heading into the postseason.
Feeling Due?
This guy was.
JUST SMACKED $5 into 10,000!!!!
— .. (@akrhoden1)
12:15 AM • Aug 24, 2024
This is why we love sports betting, and one day this might be you.
Just remember, risky parlays are more fun when you're already in the green this month.
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