Issue #20

Today's Slate

• Community Cappers Lock In Their Weekly Picks

• MNF Betting Preview: Browns @ Broncos

• College Football Championship Week Slate

• CBB Top 25 Matchups This Week

• NFL Week 14 Slate: December 4 - 10

• Slip of the Week

Community Cappers Lock In Their Weekly Picks

But first, we recap last week’s picks

• Kansas +2.5 vs Duke (-110) ✅

• L. Jackson u30.5 Pass Attempts (+100) ✅

• Chargers ML (+130) ❌

• Ceedee Lamb ATD (+175) ❌

Overall Record: 17-18 | -0.09u ⚖️

With how solid both defenses are, along with how strong both run offenses are, I see a lot of game clock being wasted, forcing the game to end in a low-scoring affair.

I think Texas will rely heavily on the stellar play of Quintrevion Wisner, who had 33 carries for 186 yards in last week’s win against Texas A&M.

I see both defenses holding strong in the SEC Championship, with this game ending under the total.

• Collab with RefThatBets

Tonight, he faces the Broncos who lead the NFL in opponent EPA per drop back and only give up 5.8 yards per throw.

Winston loves his deep balls but I don’t think he’ll throw them against Surtain’s and Broncos coverage.

• The Browns are also 29th in offensive EPA as a whole.

Winston’s below average completion percentage on top of EPA metrics in the passing game gives me confidence that we can get the under here!

Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin have carried the majority of the load so far this season, but it’s clear the Broncos aren’t interested in using just one primary running back.

Estime is a three-down back who has immense power, good vision, and is a high-energy pass protector.

• In arguably the biggest game in Denver’s schedule, Estime carried the rock 14 times against the Chiefs for 53 yards. McLaughlin was given only 2 carries, and Williams just 1.

His style and skills are exactly what the Broncos need in a game with playoff implications, and there’s no reason to believe he won’t see a chunk of the running workload tonight.

• At +275, the value here is clear as day.

MNF Betting Preview: Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos

As the Denver Broncos prepare to host the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football, Week 13 promises a matchup that could either solidify Denver's playoff aspirations or see Cleveland play the spoiler once again.

Both teams have had their share of ups and downs this season, making this game a must-watch for any football and betting enthusiast.

8:15pm EST | Empower Field at Mile High

• Denver -6

• Total: 41.5

Denver Broncos

The Broncos have been one of the NFL's pleasant surprises this season, riding a two-game winning streak into this matchup.

Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been pivotal, showing growth and poise with eight touchdown passes and zero interceptions in his last three outings.

• Denver's defense has been a fortress, allowing just 16.8 points per game, ranking third in the NFL.

This defensive prowess has been key, with only three teams managing to score more than 20 points against them this season.

Cleveland Browns

The Browns, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, struggling to string together consecutive wins.

Jameis Winston has shown flashes of brilliance but has also been part of an offense that has been held to 14 points or less in two of their last three games.

The Browns' defense, while capable of stifling opponents like the Steelers, has allowed an average of 26.3 points over their last four games.

With Nick Chubb still finding his rhythm post-injury, Cleveland's rushing attack remains underwhelming.

Betting Insights

Spread and Total

The Broncos opened as favorites, with the line moving from -4.5 to -5.5, reflecting confidence in their recent form.

The total has seen some fluctuation, opening at 46.5 and settling around 44.5, with a slight lean towards the Over.

Player Props

Bo Nix's rushing ability could be a focal point, especially against a Browns defense that has allowed significant rushing yards to quarterbacks.

With projections for Nix's rushing yards hovering around 20-29, his mobility might be a key factor in navigating Cleveland's pass rush.

The Bottom Line

Denver's defense will likely dictate the pace, aiming to keep the Browns' offense in check.

Meanwhile, Bo Nix's continued development and ability to manage the game without turnovers will be crucial.

For Cleveland, finding offensive consistency and leveraging their defensive strengths will be essential to challenge the Broncos.

This matchup is a classic case of a team on the rise versus a team looking to disrupt.

Whether Denver continues its playoff push or Cleveland spoils the party, this Monday night matchup is one to watch.

College Football Championship Week Slate

Friday, December 6

UNLV²² @ Boise State¹¹ | 8:00pm EST

Boise, ID | Albertsons Stadium

• Boise State -3.5

• Total: 58.5

Tulane¹⁷ @ Army | 8:00pm EST

West Point, NY | Michie Stadium

• Tulane -4

• Total: 47.5

Saturday, December 7

Iowa State¹⁸ vs Arizona State¹⁶ | 12:00pm EST

Arlington, TX | AT&T Stadium

• ASU -2.5

• Total 50.5

Georgia⁷ vs Texas³ | 4:00pm EST

Atlanta, GA | Mercedes-Benz Stadium

• Texas -2.5

• Total: 48.5

Penn State⁴ vs Oregon¹ | 8:00pm EST

Indianapolis, IN | Lucas Oil Stadium

• Oregon -3.5

• Total: 49.5

Clemson¹² vs SMU⁹ | 8:00pm EST

Charlotte, NC | Bank of America Stadium 

• SMU -2.5

• Total: 55.5

CBB Top 25 Matchups This Week

Tuesday, December 3

6:30pm

• Cincinnati¹⁴ @ Villanova

  • Big 12-Big East Battle

  • CIN -3.5 | Total: 138.5

7:30pm

• Syracuse @ Tennessee³

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

  • TENN -19.5 | Total 145.5

9:00pm

• Michigan @ Wisconsin¹¹

  • WIS -3.5 | Total: 149.5

• Wake Forest @ Texas A&M²²

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

  • A&M -11.5 | Total: 149.5

• Ole Miss²³ @ Louisville

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

  • LOU -3.5 | Total: 149.5

• Georgia Tech @ Oklahoma²¹

  • OU -10.5 | Total: 150.5

9:30pm

• Kentucky⁴ @ Clemson

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

  • UK -2.5 | Total: 155.5

Wednesday, December 4

6:30pm EST

• Baylor¹⁷ @ UConn²

  • Big 12-Big East Battle

7:15pm

• Alabama⁹ @ North Carolina¹²

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

7:15pm

• Virginia @ Florida¹⁸

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

8:00pm

• Marquette¹⁰ @ Iowa State⁵

  • Big 12-Big East Battle

8:30pm

• Kansas¹ @ Creighton²¹

  • Big 12-Big East Battle

9:15pm

• Auburn⁴ @ Duke¹¹

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

• Pittsburgh @ Mississippi State²⁵

  • SEC/ACC Challenge

Thursday, December 5

6:30pm

• Purdue¹³ @ Penn State

8:00pm

• Xavier²² @ TCU

  • Big 12-Big East Battle

Saturday, December 7

1:30pm

• Wisconsin¹¹ @ Marquette¹⁰

2:00pm

• Georgia Tech @ North Carolina¹²

• Southern Utah @ Arizona²⁴

4:00pm

• UNLV @ Creighton²¹

5:30pm

• Butler @ Houston⁶

  • Big 12-Big East Battle

8:00pm

• UTSA @ Arkansas¹⁹

• Lindenwood @ Ole Miss²³

10:00pm

• Kentucky⁸ @ Gonzaga³

  • Battle in Seattle

Sunday, December 8

12:00pm

• Richmond @ Auburn⁴

• Maryland @ Purdue¹³

1:00pm

• Kansas¹ @ Missouri

2:00pm

• Howard @ Cincinnati¹⁶

3:00pm

• Texas A&M²² @ Texas Tech

  • US LBM Coast-to-Coast Challenge

4:00pm

• Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi State²⁵

5:00pm

• UConn² @ Texas

6:00pm

• Jackson State @ Iowa State⁵

• Duke¹¹ @ Louisville

NFL Week 14 Slate: December 4 - 10

Teams on Bye

Denver Broncos / Indianapolis Colts / New England Patriots / Washington Commanders / Baltimore Ravens / Houston Texans

Thursday, December 5

• Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions | 8:15pm

Sunday, December 8

1:00pm

• Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

• New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins

• Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings

• New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants

• Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles

• Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers

• Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4:05pm

• Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals

4:25pm

• Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams

• Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers

8:20pm

• Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs

Monday, December 9

• Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys | 8:15pm

Slip of the Week

Dude threw a Hail Mary, and the ball is being bobbled in the endzone right now.