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- Issue #51
Sports Betting: July 7 - 13, 2025
Community Cappers Lock In Their Weekly Picks
Last Week: 1-1 | -0.21u
Logan Webb Under 5.5 Ks (+105) ❌ / The UNDERground Lab
Trea Turner/Jarren Duran Hit Parlay (-126) ✅ / Locksmith
2025 Record: 42-34 | +7.15u
Elly De La Cruz excels against righties, averaging .298 against them this season and slightly above .275 over his career.
Going against Janson Junk and a below-average Marlin’s bullpen tonight, he’s in a great spot to keep his 3 game hit streak alive.
On the other end of the parlay, Maikel Garcia is hitting .303 on the season (8th in MLB) and even higher against lefties.
Tonight he’ll face Pirates’ left-hander Andrew Heaney, who has struggled on the road this season but still holds a 1.20 WHIP on the season.
Unless Heaney struggles to hit the box tonight, Garcia should have no problem getting 1 (or a couple) in play tonight.
Meanwhile, Baz tends to go ground.
Last time they faced each other, Baz barely went over this line at home.
The edge for us here will be his home/away splits as Baz's K% tends to dip on the road.
The Tigers splits against righties are also top tier so Baz could struggle to get volume here tonight.
High humidity levels could also factor in here.
Median of 6 still despite his recent resurgence in K's.
Think we can get an UNDER here 🤝
In just 2 additional games, Reds pitching has fewer walks, a lower ERA & WHIP, and more more strikeouts.
They’ll play their second series against the Marlins this year, having gone 1-2 in Miami.
That win came with Singer on the bump (6 IP: 4 Hits, 2 Earned Runs, 8 Ks)
Simply put, the Reds are the better team and have the right matchup to win this one by multiple runs.
We’ll take a little extra risk/upside (ML at -135) for a half unit.
I’ll take a stab here though, as Burke is projected to face at least 6 of the Jays righties.
Meanwhile, Burke throws more strikes against righties and tends to keep it in the middle or upper part of the zone which are the Jays' sweet spot.
They're also batting for grounders on the road in their L30 and have a 17.2 K%.
Burke's K numbers also dip vs righties and at home so I think we have an edge here 🤝
This Week In Sports Betting
Wimbledon: Final Week
The first two days of Wimbledon was riddled with upsets - most notably #9 Daniil Medvedev, #8 Holger Rune, #7 Lorenzo Musetti, and #3 Alexander Zverev all falling in the first round.
With 4-seed Jack Draper losing in the 2nd Round, only 5 of the Top 10 players in Wimbledon remain.
via Wimbledon
Quarterfinals Schedule
#5 Taylor Fritz vs. #17 Karen Khachanov | Jul 8 - 8:00 AM
Cameron Norrie vs. #2 Carlos Alcaraz | Jul 8 - 10:00 AM
#22 Flavio Cobolli vs. #6 Novak Djokovic | Jul 9 - TBD
#1 Jannik Sinner vs. #10 Ben Shelton | Jul 9 - TBD
Semifinals: July 11 - TBD | Championship: July 13 - 9:00 AM
Top 5 'Winner' Odds
C. Alcaraz +100
J. Sinner +200
N. Djokovic +400
T. Fritz +2000
B. Shelton +2500
Genesis Scottish Open
Jul 10-13 | Course: The Renaissance Club | Purse: $9,000,000
The Genesis Scottish Open tees off on Thursday, July 10th, won last year by Robert MacIntyre with a total score of 262 (-18 To Par).
The course offers tight lies, deep bunkers, and the potential for strong winds this weekend.
Top 'Winner' Odds
Scottie Scheffler +375
Rory McIlroy +750
Xander Schauffele +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Ludvig Aberg +3000
Robert Macintyre +3250
Justin Thomas +3500
Viktor Hovland +4000
Sam Burns +4000
MLB Action
The MLB is in action until the All-Star Break begins on Tuesday, July 15.
Advanced Schedule Grid via Hashtag Baseball for this week
Checking In on World Series Winner Odds
LA Dodgers +245
Detroit Tigers +750
Philadelphia Phillies +850
NY Yankees +900
Houston Astros +1000
Slip of the Week
Tough loser this week…
BRUTAL scene for Tigers-Guards Under bettors...
There were 2 runs on the board after nine innings 💔
(via @GaloBets@DKSportsbook)
— br_betting (@br_betting)
8:36 PM • Jul 6, 2025
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