Issue #44

Weekly Bets, What to Bet on This Week, Ask Away.

Sports Betting: May 18 - 25, 2025

Community Cappers Lock In Their Weekly Picks

Last Week: 3-2 | +0.72u

  • David Peterson Under 17.5 Outs (+112) ❌ / The UNDERground Lab

  • Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-130) ✅ / The UNDERground Lab

  • Rory McIlroy Top 5 Incl. Ties (+100) ❌ / Nuke Bets

  • Tampa Bay Rays (+108) ✅ / BetBitez

  • Sal Frelick & Jackson Chourio 1+ Hit Each (-115) ✅ / Locksmith

2025 Record: 30-28 | +3.4u

Reminder: All bets 1 Unit unless otherwise stated

Allen’s median is 4 so we just need to read this right.

The Twins are very swing friendly nowadays and they’ll do most of their damage swinging the middle or upper zone as they are shooting to slug.

Allen isn’t going to whiff hitters often with his weak fastball and is aiming for soft contact.

Most of his K’s come from chasing or painting the corners of the zone with his sweeper/changeup.

However, Allen’s sweeper and changeup rank below average in velo and spin so I think the Twins will be able to foul off those pitches which will probably lead to Allen throwing his fastballs in the zone, which he seems to tend to throw at the heart of the zone.

This is where the Twins will eat.

  • Think we can get the UNDER here on Mr. Allen 🤝🏽

Most notably I see that his K% against lefties dips by 5% compared to righties and also when he plays at home.

I say lefties because the Mets are projected to roll out at least 5.

  • High winds blowing towards Dobbins should affect his control.

It’s hard to be believe he has given up 0 walks so far to any lefty this young season.

The Mets are probably the toughest challenge to date for Dobbins in terms of chase% as they don’t chase often.

They’ll aim for the lower or middle plate, and area where Dobbins goes for his grounders at home.

Dobbins control seems to get worst as he goes through the order.

If the Mets are able to get to Dobbins early and increase his pitch count, which they certainly can do at Fenway, I think we got a good shot here.

  • Dobbins has a median of 4 this month in K% and I predict he struggles here with his command!

Tonight he’ll be going up against a Pirates team that has struggled (and struck out) against him at a very high rate.

  • In his 4 times out against the Pirates, Lodolo has yet to drop less than 7 strikeouts in one game.

The Pirates also hold a primarily right-handed lineup, which Lodolo fair better against than lefties.

With the Reds recent hot streak and how much the Pirates have struggled this year, this line caught me by surprise.

  • Also playing 7+ (+240) and 8+ (+475) Ks, both on DraftKings

This Week In Sports Betting

Don’t know what to bet on this week?

Now you do:

🏀 NBA Playoffs

The Conference Finals are here.

In the West, we’ve got #1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder tipping off for Game 1 against the Minnesota Timberwolves (#6) at 8:30pm ET tomorrow.

  • OKC To Win the West: -340

  • MIN To Win the West: +300

In the East, the New York Knicks (#3) host the Indiana Pacers (#4) for Game 1 on Wednesday at 8:00pm ET.

  • NYK To Win the East: -152

  • IND To Win the East: +130

🏒 NHL Playoffs

In the Eastern Conference Finals, the 3-seed Panthers will take on the Hurricanes (#2) May 20th at 8:00pm.

  • The Panthers open as slight dogs in Game 1 (+110), with the Total set at 5.5 goals (Over: +106)

On the other side of the bracket, the Dallas Stars (#2) and Edmonton Oilers (#3) will face off for Game 1 on Wednesday, May 21 at 8:00pm ET.

  • The Stars open as slight (-125) favorites, with the Total set at 5.5 goals (Over: -137)

⚾️ MLB

Series to watch this week:

  • Arizona Diamondbacks (25-22) @ LA Dodgers (29-18)

    • Monday - Wednesday

  • Cleveland Guardians (25-21) @ Minnesota Twins (26-21)

    • Monday - Wednesday

  • Seattle Mariners (26-19) @ Houston Astros (24-22)

    • Thursday - Sunday

  • LA Dodgers (29-18) @ New York Mets (29-17)

    • Friday - Sunday

🏁 Indianapolis 500

It’s that time of year again - The Indy 500 is less than 7 days away, slated to start on Sunday, May 25 at 1:00pm ET.

Odds To Win

  • Alex Palou +550

  • Pato O’Ward +600

  • Robert Shwartzman +650

  • Scott Dixon +750

  • Josef Newgarden +750

Slip of the Week

Reader Q&A

Have a question about sports betting?

Want a specific topic highlighted in a future edition of Building Bankroll?

Let us know.👇

Slim issue this week, with a few big weeks coming

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