Issue #68

Two Football Best Bets, Betting Lines Blur

This Week…

This Week’s Betting Picks

Last Week: 0-2 | -2u

  • Bam Knight u9.5 Rush Attempts (-120) ❌ | The UNDERground Lab

  • Navy +28 (-112) ❌ / Locksmith

2025 Record: 67-52 | +15.72u

This game against the Seahawks calls for a tighter game script given the spread (-3.5).

With Kyren working the early downs and a potential shootout between Stafford and Darnold, that leaves room out for Corum IMO.

These plays are always volume based and I don’t think he’ll have that here.

Median of 8 and his rushing yard line (29.5) from last week remains somewhat unmoved which tells me this line is somewhat inflated especially since this one closed 7.5 then.

  • Give us the f****** UNDER!

He's capable of multiple 20+ yard explosive runs and the Irish will lean on him early and often throughout this game.

With Love averaging 17+ carries and consistently delivering early scoring for the Irish, he’s in prime position to find the end zone in the first half today against a vulnerable Pitt front.

The biggest concern here is Jadarian Price (-135 ATD), who has tallied 9 touchdowns on the season.

  • In close games, Love is averaging roughly twice as many carries as Price.

However, Notre Dame clearly leans on Love earlier and in the important situations, which this entire game certainly qualifies under.

Sports Betting Boundaries Blur

A new wave is hitting the sports betting landscape, and it's opening the door for millions of bettors stuck behind state lines.

FanDuel's launch of its "FanDuel Predicts" app marks a major shake-up for American sports bettors, especially those in states where sports betting is still prohibited.

Unlike traditional sportsbooks, prediction markets apps like FanDuel Predicts will be available in major non-legal betting states (California, Texas, and Florida) allowing players to "predict" outcomes on sports (and potentially other events) via mobile app.

If and when online sports betting becomes legal in a state, FanDuel will remove the prediction product from that local market and instead offer standard betting.

For bettors in states where sports betting is legal, the impact will be minimal.

FanDuel CEO Peter Jackson says prediction apps have a "negligible impact" in legal sports betting states, and the company is not prioritizing this product for its primary sportsbook or iGaming markets.

Why The Move?

FanDuel and DraftKings both withdrew their licensing bids in Nevada after the Gaming Control Board deemed sports prediction markets incompatible with existing state wagering laws.

Nevada's regulators consider any prediction contracts on sports events to fit their legal definition of wagering, regardless of whether they are offered as "contracts" or "bets," so these new apps are banned in the country’s original gaming capital.

Unlike sportsbook wagers (fixed-odds bets with regulated payouts) a prediction market lets players "predict" simple yes/no outcomes, sometimes structured as tradable contracts or options, typically overseen by derivatives or commodities regulators (like the CFTC).

While similar on the surface, the distinction comes down to regulations and legal classifications rather than fundamental user experience.

And FanDuel isn't the only one getting into the prediction market space…

For bettors in non-sports betting states, FanDuel Predicts opens a way to engage, speculate, and potentially profit on outcomes without waiting for lawmakers to legalize full-on gambling.

For those in regulated betting states, standard sportsbooks remain king, at least for now.

As prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks continue to blur, U.S. gaming law and the regulatory turf wars ensure this topic will remain front and center.

We'll watch closely as the major players keep evolving.

ICYMI: Betting News This Week

Reply

or to participate.